TonnageMapHow many tons your house actually needs, and what the swap costs.

What You Are Actually Paying For in an AC Replacement

Two quotes on the same house can differ by thousands. The difference is rarely margin and almost always what is included.

Cost divided into components
Cost divided into components

A system replacement quote is a single number covering a job with a lot of parts. Knowing the parts is how two quotes become comparable.

Where the money goes

The components

Outdoor unit — the condenser or heat pump.

Indoor coil, matched to the outdoor unit. Replacing one without the other is the most common way a system underperforms its rating.

Air handler or furnace, if it is being replaced at the same time.

Line set — the refrigerant lines between them. Sometimes reusable, often not.

Labour, typically the largest single line after equipment.

Electrical — disconnect, whip, breaker, and sometimes a panel upgrade.

Permit and inspection, which is required in most jurisdictions and is a line some quotes omit.

Refrigerant, startup and commissioning.

Equipment is frequently 40–50% of the total. A quote where equipment is nearly the whole number has left something out.

Where quotes legitimately diverge

Line set replacement. Older systems used R-22. A line set that carried R-22 and its mineral oil must be flushed thoroughly or replaced before R-410A or R-454B equipment runs on it. Replacing is safer and costs more.

Electrical. A heat pump replacing a gas furnace may need a new circuit, and an older panel may not have capacity.

Duct work. If the ducts are undersized for the new airflow, or leak badly, correcting them is real money and a real improvement. A quote that includes it is not more expensive for the same job.

Pad, drain, and condensate handling, particularly for an attic air handler, where a secondary pan and a float switch are the difference between a leak and a ceiling.

The refrigerant transition

R-410A is being phased down and new residential equipment is moving to lower-GWP refrigerants such as R-454B and R-32.

Practical consequences: equipment designed for the new refrigerants is not interchangeable with R-410A components, and service on older R-410A systems will get more expensive over time as supply tightens — the same pattern R-22 followed.

This matters for a repair-or-replace decision on an ageing system, and it is worth asking which refrigerant a quoted system uses.

Reading the spread

The most common reasons one quote is much lower:

A lower equipment tier — single-stage where the other quoted two-stage or variable.

Condenser only, leaving the existing indoor coil in place.

No permit.

No duct or electrical work that the other contractor identified as necessary.

None of these makes the low quote wrong. They make it a different job, and the right response is to ask which.

What to insist on regardless of price

A Manual J load calculation, not a match to the old equipment.

The AHRI certified reference number for the matched combination, which is what proves the rated efficiency applies to what is being installed.

A permit, because the inspection is a free second opinion on the installation.

Commissioning data — measured refrigerant charge, airflow in CFM, and static pressure — handed over on paper. Field studies repeatedly find a large fraction of systems running outside specification on these three, and they are what determine whether the equipment delivers what it is rated for.

The part that is not on the quote

Duct sealing and attic insulation are not HVAC equipment and they reduce the load the equipment has to meet.

Done before sizing, they can move the system down half a ton, which reduces both the equipment cost and the running cost. Done after, they leave a system that is now oversized for the house.

The order matters, and the time to raise it is before the quote is written.

Work it out

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How many tons your house actually needs, and what the swap costs. — TonnageMap. Editorial policy